{"id":8661,"date":"2023-01-24T14:15:43","date_gmt":"2023-01-24T12:15:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/?p=8661"},"modified":"2023-08-08T13:35:03","modified_gmt":"2023-08-08T11:35:03","slug":"what-is-changing-in-the-eu-carbon-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/what-is-changing-in-the-eu-carbon-market\/","title":{"rendered":"What is changing in the EU carbon market?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"title2post\">What exactly does the EU ETS Review include, and what other legislative changes are to come for the European carbon market this year?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The review of the European carbon market is now moving fast: the EU Parliament and Council <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.consilium.europa.eu\/en\/press\/press-releases\/2022\/12\/18\/fit-for-55-council-and-parliament-reach-provisional-deal-on-eu-emissions-trading-system-and-the-social-climate-fund\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">reached an agreement on new measures<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> late last year, paving the way for full adoption by April 2023. So what exactly does the EU ETS Review include, and what other legislative changes are to come for the European carbon market this year?<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>EU ETS Review<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On December 18, 2022, the European Parliament and Council concluded so-called \u201ctrilogue negotiations\u201d around Europe\u2019s \u2018Fit for 55\u2019 Package, which includes a revision of the Union\u2019s decarbonization goals and its mandatory offsetting scheme, the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The EU ETS <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">is based on a system of cap-and-trade of emission allowances for energy-intensive industries and the power generation sector. Covering about 40% of the EU\u2019s total CO2 emissions, It is the EU&#8217;s main decarbonization tool \u2013 and it is an efficient one: since its introduction in 2005, the EU&#8217;s emissions have decreased by 41%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">More on this topic:<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/eu-ets-what-is-it-and-why-is-it-changing\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">EU ETS: What is it and why is it changing?<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/eu-ets-reform-whats-to-come-for-the-mandatory-carbon-market\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">EU ETS reform: What\u2019s to come for the mandatory carbon market?<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/sustainability-strategies-whitepapers\/mandatory-markets\/\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-6137 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375.png\" alt=\"EU ETS WP banner\" width=\"1200\" height=\"375\" srcset=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375.png 1200w, https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375-300x94.png 300w, https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375-1024x320.png 1024w, https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375-768x240.png 768w, https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375-200x63.png 200w, https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375-400x125.png 400w, https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375-600x188.png 600w, https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375-800x250.png 800w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Now, the EU Parliament and Council have agreed on the review of the system, including the following changes:<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>EU ETS ambition changes<\/b><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The sectors covered by the scheme will now have to reduce their emissions by 62% by 2030 (from a 2005 baseline). This is a significant increase from the 43% reduction ambition adopted in 2021.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Emissions allowances issued by the EU will be reduced by an annual rate of 4.3 % per year from 2024 to 2027 and 4.4% per year from 2028 to 2030. In the July 2021 Phase 4 Revision, the EU had set an annual reduction rate of only 2.2% from 2021 onward, so this is also a marked increase in ambition.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In terms of aligning reduction targets to actual emissions (a process called \u2018rebasing\u2019), the negotiators agreed to rebasing the emissions ceiling by 90 million allowances in 2024 and by 27 million allowances in 2026.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To absorb potential price shocks from these changes, the Market Stability Reserve (MSR) will be strengthened by prolonging beyond 2023 the increased annual intake rate of allowances (24%) and setting a threshold of 400 million allowances.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At a webinar by the International Emissions Trading Association to explain the changes, Marcus Ferdinand, Head of Analysis at Greenfact, noted that despite being in line with market expectations, these adjustments constitute \u201ca massive ambition upscaling\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>EU ETS sector changes<\/b><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In terms of sectors, the revised scheme will phase in emissions from the maritime industry between 2024 and 2026, which will lead to an increase of around 79 million allowances in the cap, with a reduction rate of 3.9% per year.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It could also potentially include waste incineration from 2028. This option is currently being assessed, with the Council to produce its final report by July 31, 2026.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><b>Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On top of changes to the EU ETS, negotiators agreed on final rules for the implementation of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), considered the world\u2019s first carbon tariff. The mechanism will impose a carbon tax mirroring the price of allowances on the EU ETS to products arriving in the EU. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It will initially apply to imports including iron and steel, cement, aluminum, fertilizers and electricity, as well as hydrogen \u2013 sectors considered vulnerable to carbon leakage (moving production to countries with looser carbon rules to remain competitive).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">More on this topic:<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-eu-carbon-border-adjustment-mechanism\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Everything you need to know about the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Following the trilogue negotiation, the Council and Parliament agreed to end free allowances for these sectors, over a nine-year period between 2026 and 2034, during which time the CBAM will apply only to the proportion of emissions that does not benefit from free allowances under the EU ETS.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CBAM is expected to be fully in place in 2026, and will lead to increasing compliance costs for CBAM sectors, particularly towards the end of the decade and they begin to face penalties for not complying with carbon leakage measures.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>EU carbon market price impact<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This strengthening of the EU carbon market legislation is expected to result in a significant increase in the price of EU allowances, from \u20ac80-85 currently to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.statista.com\/statistics\/1334906\/average-carbon-price-projections-worldwide-by-region\/#:~:text=The%20average%20EU%20ETS%20carbon,International%20Emissions%20Trading%20Association%20members.\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">around \u20ac100 by 2030<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. This is the highest carbon price in the world.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What exactly does the EU ETS Review include, and what other legislative changes are to come for the European carbon market this year?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":8669,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[82],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>What is changing in the EU carbon market? - ClimateTrade<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"What exactly does the EU ETS Review include, and what other legislative changes are to come for the European carbon market this year?\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/what-is-changing-in-the-eu-carbon-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What is changing in the EU carbon market? 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