{"id":4436,"date":"2022-06-01T11:54:42","date_gmt":"2022-06-01T09:54:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/?p=4436"},"modified":"2023-08-08T13:50:26","modified_gmt":"2023-08-08T11:50:26","slug":"eu-ets-reform-whats-to-come-for-the-mandatory-carbon-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/eu-ets-reform-whats-to-come-for-the-mandatory-carbon-market\/","title":{"rendered":"EU ETS Reform: What&#8217;s to come for the mandatory carbon market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"title2post\">In a Decarb Connect Webinar held online on May 25th, ClimateTrade CEO Francisco Benedito and NWorld Partner Gregorio Gonzalo discussed upcoming changes in the EU ETS, and how companies can prepare for them.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The webinar, which you can <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/hubs.li\/Q01cfh3Q0\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">watch here<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, couldn\u2019t have been more timely: on May 17th, the EU Parliament voted in favor of a comprehensive reform of the EU ETS, in line with the Fit for 55 package. Among the changes included in the reform, Gonzalo pointed to seven key aspects:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Accelerating emissions reduction: cutting emissions by 60% by 2030 compared to 2005 baseline<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New sectors covered by the EU ETS: maritime, road transportation and buildings<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Increased coverage around aviation: all flights operated by EU-based aircraft<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Carbon capture and storage: emissions captured could be deducted<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Reinforcement of market stability: upper limit for number of allowances permitted to be in circulation, but also lower limit to ensure there are enough allowances in the market, ensuring supply and demand balance<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">All revenues from EU ETS should be destined to climate-related purposes, a boon for low-carbon technologies<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gradual phase-out of free allowances by 2030<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">More on this topic:<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/eu-ets-what-is-it-and-why-is-it-changing\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">EU ETS: What it is and why it is changing<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/climatetrade-enters-mandatory-carbon-market-thanks-to-eex-admission\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ClimateTrade enters mandatory carbon market<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><b>EU ETS price and demand impact of the reform<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Speaking about the expected impact of this reform on EUA demand and prices, Benedito laid out some of the key pricing drivers: a<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">s global production and CO2 emissions decreased during the pandemic, there was a significant surplus of EUAs accumulated, which lowered the price of EUAs to about 36\u20ac per unit. However, the war between Ukraine and Russia and the uncertainty around gas supply led to an increase in coal use for electricity production, which is highly polluting. As a result, the EUA surplus is fading away, and this reform will reduce EUA supply even more.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In February 2022, the price of EUAs reached a record 98\u20ac per unit, before the new reform was even adopted. Companies that need to buy EUAs to comply with emissions regulations are facing a declining supply of allowances in the coming eight years as free allocations are set to be phased out. In fact, the number of EUAs issued into the market each year is set to decline at 2.2% a year from 2021 through 2030.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cMost analysts believe this will lead to a much smaller supply of EUAs. This month, EUAs are priced around 90\u20ac and some analysts believe this price will reach 150\u20ac in 2023,\u201d he said.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One thing that\u2019s becoming clear with this new reform is that eventually, all sectors of the economy will be forced to offset their emissions. The package even talks about including citizens in the EU ETS around the end of this decade.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/sustainability-strategies-whitepapers\/mandatory-markets\/\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-6137 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375.png\" alt=\"EU ETS WP banner\" width=\"1200\" height=\"375\" srcset=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375.png 1200w, https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375-300x94.png 300w, https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375-1024x320.png 1024w, https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375-768x240.png 768w, https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375-200x63.png 200w, https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375-400x125.png 400w, https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375-600x188.png 600w, https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/CT_bannerEU_EN_1200x375-800x250.png 800w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><b>New sectors, new measures<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gonzalo then dove into some of the new sectors to be included in the EU ETS and what specific measures will apply to them.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When it comes to maritime transport, all emissions coming from intra-EU voyages will be included, as well as up to 50% of emissions from travel outside the EU. \u201cThere will be a transition period between 2023 and 2025 when maritime companies are going to have to gradually buy allowances up to 100% of their verified emissions, which should all be compensated between 2026 and 2027. Implications of not complying are quite severe,\u201d he noted. Maritime companies now need to submit a monitoring plan for each of their ships and hand it to authorities in the next three months.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Road transportation and buildings will have special treatment, as they will operate within a separate ETS system commonly referred to as ETS II, which should be functional from 2025. From 2025 to 2029, only commercial fleets and buildings will have to comply, but the scheme will be extended to private cars and buildings after 2029.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">More on this topic:<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/advanced-esg-criteria-for-new-and-retrofitted-buildings\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Advanced ESG criteria for new and retrofitted buildings<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/climatetrade-and-spains-cscae-launch-a-carbon-footprint-calculator-for-the-construction-sector\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ClimateTrade launches carbon footprint calculator for the construction sector<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><b>EU ETS cost burden<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gonzalo and Benedito agreed that there is very little public information around transaction costs for purchasing, selling or cancelling carbon credits in the EU ETS. But a June 2020 working paper published by the London School of Economics and quoted in <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/a-2030-outlook-for-europes-mandatory-carbon-market\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ClimateTrade\u2019s white paper on the EU ETS<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> offers a quantitative approach to understanding EUA transaction costs. The paper found that costs of around \u20ac10,000 per year plus \u20ac1 per permit traded allowed the most accurate predictions.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These transaction costs include exchange membership fees, the resources invested in operating a trading desk, monitoring the market and defining a trading strategy, as well as search, information, brokerage, intermediation and consultancy costs, and they are a barrier to entry from the EUA market. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cThe new reform, as well as the implementation of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) will most likely increase this cost burden,\u201d said Benedito.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">More on this topic:<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/a-2030-outlook-for-europes-mandatory-carbon-market\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">White paper: A 2030 Outlook for Europe\u2019s Mandatory Carbon Market<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><b>Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is the EU\u2019s solution to prevent carbon leakage, considered one of the key elements of the Fit for 55 package. \u201cLet\u2019s try not to favour EU industries moving to countries with less stringent requirements on carbon, and let\u2019s try not to replace European products with more polluting but cheaper products from outside the EU,\u201d explained Gonzalo.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CBAM also aims to incentivize non-EU countries to promote cleaner industries: while the price of the CBAM certificates to be purchased by EU importers will be based on the weekly average auction price of EU ETS allowances (EUAs), if goods are imported from a country with a carbon scheme, that price will be deducted from the cost of CBAM certificates.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The EU has now begun a transitional phase to gather data until 2025, and CBAM is expected to be fully in place in 2026, initially applying to industries like cement, aluminium, steel, fertilizers and electricity, but later to be extended to all sectors within the EU ETS. EU importers will have to declare the quantity of goods they imported every year at the end of May, and show corresponding CBAM certificates for the GHG emissions related to those products.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cWith CBAM, the EU Parliament has been much more aggressive than the EU Commission proposed, phasing out free allowances by 2030 instead of 2035 as initially proposed,\u201d said Gonzalo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">More on this topic:<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-eu-carbon-border-adjustment-mechanism\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Everything you need to know about the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><b>The role of blockchain<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cAs CBAM comes into force, the focus will be on carbon offset traceability: as their products reach the EU, companies will be required to prove how and where they offset their carbon footprint, particularly if it was outside of Europe,\u201d added Benedito.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As a result, b<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">lockchain technology is expected to become the infrastructure of choice for the EU ETS, since all transactions recorded on a distributed ledger are immutable, reducing fraud risks, and fully traceable.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Already, several players offer blockchain-based carbon offsetting products in the voluntary market. ClimateTrade was the first to do so in 2017, connecting the developers of mitigation and adaptation projects that want to sell their carbon credits to companies that need to offset their footprint without intermediaries and reducing transaction costs. The added benefit of the platform is that it avoids double-accounting, since certificates are cancelled in the registry before sellers can get paid. It also allows the immediacy of peer-to-peer transactions, for the benefit of those who work on the field every day to preserve the planet.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>You can <a href=\"https:\/\/hubs.li\/Q01cfh3Q0\">watch the full Decarb Webinar for free and on demand here<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In a Decarb Connect Webinar held online on May 25th, ClimateTrade CEO Francisco Benedito and NWorld Partner Gregorio Gonzalo discussed upcoming changes in the EU ETS, and how companies can prepare for them. The webinar, which you can watch here, couldn\u2019t have been more timely: on May 17th, the EU Parliament voted in favor of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":4437,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[82,78],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>EU ETS Reform: carbon market mandatories - ClimateTrade<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"ClimateTrade CEO Francisco Benedito and NWorld Partner Gregorio Gonzalo discuss upcoming changes in the EU ETS, and how companies can prepare.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/eu-ets-reform-whats-to-come-for-the-mandatory-carbon-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"EU ETS Reform: carbon market mandatories - 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